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October 5, 2020

Market Update: October 5

USDOLLAR turned up from the top side of the neckline on Thursday but returned to the neckline today. Failure to turn up now risks a failed breakout, which would be viewed in a bearish light.
October 1, 2020

Market Update: October 1 – Important Monthly USD Signal

It’s a new month which means we monthly volume signals, which are obviously rare. DX futures made a 2 bar monthly volume reversal. This means that August was a high volume up month and at least a 12 month closing high and September was a high volume down month (go here for more on volume indicators).
September 30, 2020

Market Update: September 30

Gold traded into proposed resistance at 1908 today and immediately pulled back. I am of the view that price resumes lower from the current level towards the lower parallel near 1750. Failure to stay below today’s low would risk strength into the upper parallel of the bearish channel near 1940.
September 29, 2020

Market Update: September 29

We looked at DXY yesterday, remember that the neckline is 93.50 and proposed support for that index. USDOLLAR is nearly identical with the neckline near 12040. I’m in the re-test of the breakout level (neckline) and then higher for the USD.
September 28, 2020

Market Update: September 28

Silver broke the trendline from the March low last week and is bouncing from short term oversold conditions. It would be quite a bounce but the underside of the noted trendline intersects the well-defined 26.10/28 zone late this week.
September 23, 2020

Market Update – September 23

The Dow completed the short term head and shoulders top so focus is on the mentioned 25853 (then reassess). The bounce over the last 2 days should see resistance from the breakdown level near 27500.
September 22, 2020

Market Update: September 22

USDOLLAR finally broke above the upper parallel from the Schiff fork off of the March high. The top side of this line should now provide support near 12010. The next upside level of interest is the March low at 12129. This level intersects corrective channel resistance on Wednesday.
September 21, 2020

Market Update – September 21

The Dow is testing critical support from the June high. This level has been support since 8/20. A break below would complete a head and shoulders top that’s been forming since early June. The measured objective would be 25853.
September 18, 2020

Market Update – September 18

USDOLLAR failed yet again at the upper parallel from the Schiff fork off of the March high. Pay attention to 11940, which is 2 legs down from the 9/10 high and the 61.8% retrace of the rally from the 9/1 low, for support. This is also near the 8/19 low and top side of the line that crosses highs in August (magenta line).
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