January 7, 2021

Market Update 1/6 – More Reversal Evidence

50-51 is big for crude. This zone was critical support in 2019. Once the level broke early last year, crude went into a swan dive. As noted 2 days ago, the rally from the April negative print does compose 5 waves. 5 waves up plus a massive market level in the form of former support (turned resistance?) indicates reversal potential.
December 21, 2020

Market Update: December 21

Copper continues to trade on both sides of the 61.8% retrace of the decline from 2011. I continue to follow near term levels from the channel off of the March low. The center line is about 3.50. That needs to break in order to suggest that copper is lower, probably until the lower parallel.
December 17, 2020

Market Update: December 17

old pulled back to 1819 before resuming higher. The next level of interest is 1921/30. This is the 2011 high, 2 legs up from the low, and a slope confluence (short term bullish upper parallel and medium term bearish upper parallel).
November 10, 2020

Market Update: November 10

Silver has been trending lower since August 6th and put in a large bearish outside day on Monday. Focus is towards the lower channel line near 20.65, which is currently just above the 200 day average. Resistance should be about 24.56 (see 4 hour chart below). A downside bias is reinforced by the fact that VWAP from the high was resistance on SLV on Monday (see 2 charts down).
November 4, 2020

Market Update: November 4

EURUSD traded into resistance as early polls closed, tanked to its lowest since 7/24 and then ended the day unchanged. So 2020. Bottom line, resistance was hit so I favor the short side. Weakness below 1.1700 (most recent high volume level and support in August and October) would warrant taking a shot.
August 12, 2020

Rollercoaster in Gold Continues Amid Rising Treasury Yields, Stronger Dollar

Gold extended its losses in early trading on Wednesday, before rebounding sharply. The yellow metal fell by over 5% on Tuesday, marking its worst day in 7 years.
August 7, 2020

Market Update: Big CAD Levels Nearby

After some back and fill, silver blew through 26. The recent parabolic move could run into a ceiling near 33.80. This is based on a parallel related to the 1971-2001 trendline. This parallel crosses highs in 1974, 1987, and 2008.
August 5, 2020

Silver Soars to Fresh 7-Year Highs

Silver climbed to its highest levels since April 2013 in early trading on Wednesday, while gold rose to new record highs above $2,000 an ounce. The move comes after July's 34% rally, marking silver's largest monthly gain since December 1979.
July 30, 2020

Gold Consolidates As Risk Appetite Picks Up

Gold traded lower early on Thursday, as investor mood was buoyed by the dovish stance of the Federal Reserve. On Wednesday, the Fed committed to leave interest rates near zero and pledged to use all its tools to support an economic recovery.
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