October 7, 2021

Market Update 10/6 – USDNOK Trade Idea

Silver is bullish. The rally from the low is impulsive. The question is whether or not the correction is complete. Either price pulls back to 21.90-22.10 or price breaks above the 75 line (parallel just above price) and the top side of that line then provides support. A zoomed in version and possible path is below.
September 14, 2021

Market Update 9/13 – Well-Defined EURUSD Trading Levels

The EURUSD drop did extend into 5 waves and a corrective bounce is underway towards 1.1850/56 (former 4th wave high and 61.8% retrace). Today’s rally is probably most of wave A. As such, a small pullback (1.1790 support) followed by another leg up should complete the corrective advance and give way to additional weakness.
September 7, 2021

Market Update 9/6 – AUD Crosses into Big Levels Before RBA

AUDUSD has traded into the noted neckline and short term channel resistance (not shown) so I’m on the lookout for a pullback. RBA is tonight so be aware of a possible spike to test the line off of the May and June highs near .7480. Proposed supports now are .7380 and .7290.
August 24, 2021

Market Update 8/23 – Possible Equity Index Top Levels

SPY made a volume reversal last week. The red and blue bars on the chart indicate volume reversals at at least 5 year highs/lows. The signal is rare. Proposed resistance levels for ES and NQ futures (see next 2 charts) are about 4500 and 15460.
August 19, 2021

Market Update 8/18 – A BIG GBPJPY Setup

GBPJPY did indeed roll over from the 50 day average and price is testing the well-defined trendline from the March 2020 low. A massive head and shoulders pattern is evident and the target on a break would be near 140. Watch for resistance near 151.80 (see 4 hour chart below).
August 17, 2021

Market Update 8/16 – Gold and Silver Near Resistance

Gold is nearing the upper end of the cited range for resistance. The level is defined by support/resistance since April and the 200 period average on the 4 hour chart. I’m on reversal watch in gold.
August 12, 2021

Market Update 8/11 – How Big of a USD Pullback?

Right on cue! USDOLLAR reversed lower from parallel resistance (again) today. I’m not sure how important the high is but short term focus is lower for now. The first level to pay attention to will be 11900.
August 10, 2021

Market Update 8/9 – Silver Crashes – What Now?

The silver crash bounced from a median line today. While the action may feel like capitulation, I’m watching for resistance from the line that crosses lows in June and July (red line). That line is about 24.20. Very near term, price could bounce near 23.05 (see below). The 61.8% retrace of the rally from March 2020 is 18.71. Keep that level in mind for major support if reached.
August 5, 2021

Market Update 8/4 – Japanese Yen Volume Reversal

he 25 and 75 lines nailed BOTH the high and low today for USDJPY. I’m willing to buy into the center line near 109.15 given the daily volume reversal today (see futures chart below). Near term upside focus is the upper channel line near 110.00.