September 9, 2021

Market Update 9/8 – Well-Defined Short Term USD Patterns

ECB is Thursday. I don’t make trading decisions based on my ‘fundamental’ analysis but I do like to know when important news events are going to be released. Not much has changed regarding the near term technical picture for EURUSD. Pay attention to parallels within the near term EURUSD bullish fork. 1.1780s and 1.1870s are proposed support and resistance. I favor shorting strength into the latter level and targeting 1.1750s (61.8% retrace).
July 21, 2021

Market Update 7/20 – Reversals in Yen Crosses

Yen crosses reversed higher today. Expanding on the implications from the Nikkei bear trap, GBPJPY tagged the 3/24 low today before reversing higher. Price also held trendline support. I’m constructive towards 150.74-151.31 (former lows).
May 12, 2021
nikkei-daily

Market Update 5/11 – Watch the Nikkei

The Nikkei reached the lower parallel of the Schiff fork mentioned 3 weeks ago. The level is also support from March (3/5 and 3/24 lows). Huge level! A break below would complete a topping process that has been underway since 2/16 (descending triangle). Note that this possible topping pattern has taken place at the upper parallel of the channel from the 2009 low (see monthly chart below).
April 23, 2021

Market Update 4/22 – Pause in Precious Metals Rally

SLV has also run into 2021 VWAP. A pullback ‘makes sense’ with support near 23.60. The equivalent level for spot is 25.62. A big reason to hold a constructive longer term view on silver is the fact that VWAP from the March 2020 low has provided support on multiple occasions.
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