July 15, 2021

Market Update 7/14 – Bearish Oil and CAD

Short term waves suggest that crude has put in a lower high. Specifically, a 3 wave rally followed a 5 wave decline from a high. The implication is that another impulsive decline is underway. The March high at 68 is an initial level of interest on the downside. For context, the longer term chart is reproduced below.
December 15, 2020

Market Update: December 15

As noted yesterday, the GBPUSD drop from 12/4 to 12/11 is in 2 equal waves. The implication is that the drop is corrective, although it could also compose the first leg of a complex correction. In any case, keep an eye on the top side of the just broken channel. That line is about 1.3380. If that holds as support, then I’d consider longs for a potentially massive breakout as a move above 1.3500 would shift focus to the 2007-2014 line near 1.4050
December 7, 2020

Scandex Technical Weekly: 12/06/2020

Interestingly, a daily volume reversal triggered on Friday from a 2 year high in EURUSD. There have only been 4 instances of this happening since inception of the euro (see chart below). If a top is in place at Friday’s high, then impulsive weakness likely extends towards 1.2040 before a bounce. That bounce would present the opportunity to short.
August 7, 2020

Market Update: Big CAD Levels Nearby

After some back and fill, silver blew through 26. The recent parabolic move could run into a ceiling near 33.80. This is based on a parallel related to the 1971-2001 trendline. This parallel crosses highs in 1974, 1987, and 2008.
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