August 18, 2021

Market Update 8/17 – USD Breakout?

The USDOLLAR pullback bottomed at 11911…just above 11900. Is this a massive breakout? It is until it isn’t (then it would be a failed breakout). Risk is higher until noted otherwise with focus on 12129/60.
August 12, 2021

Market Update 8/11 – How Big of a USD Pullback?

Right on cue! USDOLLAR reversed lower from parallel resistance (again) today. I’m not sure how important the high is but short term focus is lower for now. The first level to pay attention to will be 11900.
July 22, 2021

Market Update 7/21 – USDOLLAR Reacts at Resistance

USDOLLAR put in a key reversal today after hitting parallel resistance from the pitchfork that originates at the 2017 high. I’m not sure that there is a better example of median line symmetry. Over the last 10 months, highs and lows have registered on parallels equidistant from the median line. With the specter of 5 waves up from the May low, I lean towards USD weakness from the current level.
July 21, 2021

Market Update 7/20 – Reversals in Yen Crosses

Yen crosses reversed higher today. Expanding on the implications from the Nikkei bear trap, GBPJPY tagged the 3/24 low today before reversing higher. Price also held trendline support. I’m constructive towards 150.74-151.31 (former lows).
June 23, 2021

Market Update 6/22 – BTCUSD Reversal and USD FX Nearing Support

BTCUSD reversed higher today from the year open price of 29007. The reversal was accompanied by high volume (J Spike Volume). This is the second such signal since 2018 (note the December 2018 signal which is circled). Given the reversal from the month open, I’m bullish against today’s low. 42000-44000 is proposed resistance again.
May 19, 2021

Market Update 5/18 – Keeping an Eye on Aussie Crosses

AUDJPY is in black and BTCUSD (bitcoin) is in magenta. My six year old son is standing behind me as a I type and just said ‘they look the same’. He’s right! We’ve been waiting for AUDJPY to tag the underside of the trendline from the 2008 low since February (AUDJPY is below). That line is currently about 86.50. I’d love a spike into that level to short but I’m not sure that happens with BTCUSD already breaking down. I’ll wait for 86.50 (or so) unless price breaks under the line that crosses lows since 4/23 (see magenta line on 4 hour chart below)
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