Education
July 8, 2020
Risk’ may have put in an important high today. The following charts ‘explain’ why.
June 22, 2020
ES traded around noted resistance last week before finally turning down on Friday. Focus is towards 2777.25 and 2849. This the 38.2% retrace of the rally from March and 2 equal legs down. Lows from August and October reinforce the levels.
June 16, 2020
I’m thinking that ES carries into 3110/37 before encountering stronger resistance for another leg lower. The zone is defined by the 61.8% retrace and underside of the line that crosses pivots (high and lows) since 2018 (red line).
June 12, 2020
Finally something else besides ‘melt-up’. Index action in 2020 is basically straight up or straight down. Once the market picks a direction, it goes quickly in that direction without much of a counter reaction. In ES, pay attention to 2976 for a bounce. If it does bounce, then note 3065 for resistance. IF a larger reaction materializes (which would be a change) then 3137 should provide resistance.
June 4, 2020
SPX traded to 3130.94 today. The red line was reached but not the 78.6% retrace. On SPY however today’s high was 313.22, which is the exact 78.6% retrace. Also, a 30 minute volume reversal triggered on SPY (see chart below). This is the 4th such bearish reversal since the March low. The previous 3 were at least near term highs. I’m thinking lower from here.
May 13, 2020
ES broke the noted level at the end of the day. 2885 is now resistance if reached and general focus is towards the 2637/97 zone (yellow box). The bottom of this zone was resistance in March. It’s also the 38.2% retrace of the decline from the February high. The top of the zone is VWAP from the low and the 3/13 high.
May 12, 2020
The S&P (looking at SPY here) remains magentized to the 61.8% retrace of the decline from the high. This is also the September 2018 high and May 2019 high (that’s right…exactly flat over the last year). Good spot to turn down?
April 28, 2020
AUD/USD rallied to its highest level since March 11 in early trading on Tuesday, as Australia stands out as one of the countries having best managing the Coronavirus pandemic. The country responded quickly, closing its borders and imposing restrictions on movement. With new cases falling sharply over recent weeks, Australia began to ease social distancing restrictions. Sydney’s famed Bondi beach was reopened on Tuesday to local swimmers after a month-long closure.