Market Update 6/29 – Long Term Views
NZDUSD went slightly through the median line (red line) but that line remains proposed resistance near .7020. Downside focus is the long held .6800 level (2 equal legs are at .6795).
Market Update 6/23 – USD Reaches Support
USDCAD nailed support and reversed higher today. Time to be bullish again! Ironically, less words are required when the market adheres to one’s analytical method. ‘Feel the flow’…it’s working. Upside focus is open for now.
Market Update 6/22 – BTCUSD Reversal and USD FX Nearing Support
BTCUSD reversed higher today from the year open price of 29007. The reversal was accompanied by high volume (J Spike Volume). This is the second such signal since 2018 (note the December 2018 signal which is circled). Given the reversal from the month open, I’m bullish against today’s low. 42000-44000 is proposed resistance again.
Market Update 6/21 – Tracking USD Support Slightly Lower
GBPUSD turned up prior to the proposed 1.3740 but 1.4000 remains in line for resistance. Besides being ‘clean’ horizontal resistance, the level is also defined by the 25 line of the Schiff fork from the March 2020 low. This line was support in December and April…so watch for support to turn into resistance.
Market Update 6/17 – Yen about to Take Over?
It was pure risk-off in FX today as Yen was the only major that strengthened against the USD. I ‘like’ downside in Yen crosses generally, especially given the volume reversal today (see futures chart below…bullish Yen reversals since 2014 are highlighted). Price action from the April low takes the form of a wedge. The lower wedge barrier is about 109.50. The high volume level from FOMC is now proposed resistance at 110.50.
Market Update 6/16 – USD Time
Today’s move in USDOLLAR proves us correct in the assertion that action since the beginning of the year is a bullish base. The top side of the median line is now support near 11767. A pullback is possible from the center line of the channel from the yearly low. That line is near 11848. Strategically, either wait for a pullback to 11767 or a break above 11848 (median line) and then look to buy a pullback into 11848 (or so).
Market Update 6/3 – Commodity FX Breakdown
EURUSD has broken down and near term focus is 1.1990 (see highlighted zone). Resistance should be 1.2160. Eventual downside is the lower parallel of the channel that originates at the March 202o low. That line is about 1.1850.
Market Update 6/1 – British Pound Reversal!
Pound futures made a daily volume reversal today. The signals shown are at least one year high/lows with at least 1.5 x the 20 day average volume. Those are some timely signals. Price is testing the center line of the channel from the April low (see spot chart below). In the event of a bounce, resistance is 1.4210. Near term downside focus is the lower parallel, currently near 1.4005.
Market Update 5/26 – Extreme USD Sentiment Indicates Reversal Risk
The demise of the dollar? Reserve currencies in the era of ‘going big’.
BITCOIN AND THE DEATH OF THE US DOLLAR.
Markets oscillate between extreme optimism and extreme pessimism. The above headlines suggest that the USD is at/near a bearish sentiment extreme…and therefore a price bottom.