The US dollar index closed lower for a fifth consecutive day on Monday as hopes of a faster than expected global economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic took hold. Markets remained steady despite widespread civil unrest in the United States due to the death of George Floyd and ongoing US/China trade tensions.
GBPUSD has broken out and near term focus is on the median ine near 1.2800 with significant longer term upside potential. Support should now be 1.2420s or so, which is the top side of the line crosses recent highs.
DXY is breaking down but pay attention to 97.69 for possible support. This is the November 2018 high and center line of the channel from the March high. If price bounces from there then resistance is likely in the 98.50-99.00 zone.
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Be aware of 3136 in SPX as a possible pivot. The level is defined by the 78.6% retrace of the decline,March high, and the line that crosses highs in 2018 and 2019. This line was support in December. Price has responded to Fibonacci retracements (23.6%, 38.2%, and 61.8%) during the advance which increases confidence that ‘something’ happens at the next Fibonacci retracement.
The British Pound weakened against its major rivals on Wednesday amid reports that Brexit talks are stalling and as the specter of a ‘no-deal’ Brexit reared its head again.
Scand.Ex is pleased to present the next video with trading analysis by Jamie Saettele, our Chief Technical Analyst.
GBPUSD erased most of yesterday’s rally but I remain constructive. In fact, price found support near the short term trendline that originates at the 5/18 low. I want to see strength above 1.2300 (blue line) before committing capital to the upside again though. In general, this level has been support and resistance for a little over a month.
USDOLLAR found resistance at the cited level (recovery high was 12536) and broke down today. Individual USD crosses nailed their supports as well (see levels noted below from last week). My wave count interpretation is that weakness from the 5/18 high is either a 3rd or C wave so downside potential is significant in the coming weeks and months.