Market Update – July 23
THE U.S. DOLLAR IS GETTING PUNCHED IN THE MOUTH, AND ITS OUTLOOK AMID CORONAVIRUS DOESN’T LOOK GREAT, SOME EXPERTS SAY
THE U.S. DOLLAR IS GETTING PUNCHED IN THE MOUTH, AND ITS OUTLOOK AMID CORONAVIRUS DOESN’T LOOK GREAT, SOME EXPERTS SAY
Scand.Ex is pleased to present the next video with trading analysis by Jamie Saettele, our Chief Technical Analyst.
This is a picture of the TV in my living room earlier today. I keep Bloomberg on throughout the day for background noise and the scrolling headlines on the right of the screen are the same headlines that are published on the app. The headline circled in red would not appear if the short USD trade weren’t extremely crowded, at least on a short term basis. Sentiment is ripe for a reversal.
I’m not sure what to say anymore when it comes to indices. NYSE breadth, for example, was negative today (more stocks down than up) but both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were up. The Nasdaq was up A LOT thanks to MSFT and AMZN.
Seasonal tendencies are now bullish-sideways for DXY (and bearish-sideways for EURUSD) through mid-August. The biggest shift in seasonal tendencies however is in the commodity currency complex. AUDUSD and NZDUSD enter their most bearish period of the year starting now. USDCAD is in its most bullish period of the year. Nasdaq seasonal tendencies are bearish through August 14th. These charts are shown below.
Scand.Ex is pleased to present the next video with trading analysis by Jamie Saettele, our Chief Technical Analyst.
The greenback rebounded on Thursday, amid fears that a resurgence in the coronavirus could slow a global economic recovery. Meanwhile, US/China tensions remain elevated, with murmurs that a new Cold War is emerging between the superpowers.
The ‘about face’ in USD action today strongly suggests that we’re on the right track insofar as being near term USD bulls. Regarding EURUSD specifically, the 5 wave rally from the 4/24 low is ‘textbook’ so expectations are for at least a corrective pullback. The year open at 1.1260 along with parallels just below are likely initial support for a bounce.
Scand.Ex is pleased to present the next video with trading analysis by Jamie Saettele, our Chief Technical Analyst.