USDCAD Important Support Reached
Scand.Ex is pleased to present the next video with trading analysis by Jamie Saettele, our Chief Technical Analyst.
Market Update – June 10
Stephen Roach, former Morgan Stanley economist and currently employed by Yale, published A Crash in the Dollar Is Coming yesterday. He may be correct but these types of articles are usually published at near term price extremes (in this case a USD low). Technically, this is the perfect spot (December low) for a bounce. Also, DXY made a slight new low today but EURUSD did not make a new high. This non-confirmation is typical at turns. Back to 98.27 or so wouldn’t be a surprise. Finally, consider the extreme short term sentiment readings (DSI readings from Monday) in front of FOMC on Wednesday. The narrative heading into FOMC is that there is no limit to the Fed’s balance sheet. What else can they say that would ‘surprise’ markets in that direction? Risk for tomorrow seems like a classic ‘sell the news’ event.
Gold Advances Ahead of FOMC Meeting
Gold edged higher in early Tuesday trading, lifted by a weaker US dollar as investors eye the Federal Reserve meeting set to conclude on Wednesday. Meanwhile, inceased risk appetite and robust equity markets threaten to keep a lid on the yellow metal’s price.
Market Update – June 9
USDJPY plunged today. Price could bounce from the lower parallel of the short term fork near 108.00. Proposed resistance is the year open and center line at 108.75-109.00. Seasonal tendencies have turned down and the rally from the May low is in 3 waves. The implication is that the rally is complete as a correction and that price is headed for a break of the May low of 105.99.
Market Update – June 8
TLT reached the noted support line on Friday and reversed higher. The importance of this line cannot be overstated. This is the same line that was resistance for major tops since 2012. Another leg higher from here is possible but I don’t have a strong opinion on whether or not that happens. Favor the upside as long as Friday’s low holds. 162 is initial resistance.
EURUSD Channel Resistance and Rare 8 Day Rally
Scand.Ex is pleased to present the next video with trading analysis by Jamie Saettele, our Chief Technical Analyst.
Market Update – June 5
QQQ traded to an all-time high on Wednesday and at today’s open before ending the day down slightly. It’s interesting that the Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq futures have not traded all-time highs yet. S&Ps have not either. I’m not sure if this non-confirmation means anything. Time will tell. 223.94 is still seen as an important level (call it the ‘breakage’ point) but weakness under the lower diagonal line (lower magenta line) near 230 would be enough for me to suggest that the uptrend has broken.
Gold Consolidates After Bruising Wednesday Session
Gold prices fell by 2% on Wednesday as stocks rallied on hopes of a faster than expected recovery from the fallout of the coronavirus pandemic. Meanwhile, investors shrugged of the historic civil unrest in the United States and US/China trade tensions.
Market Update – June 4
SPX traded to 3130.94 today. The red line was reached but not the 78.6% retrace. On SPY however today’s high was 313.22, which is the exact 78.6% retrace. Also, a 30 minute volume reversal triggered on SPY (see chart below). This is the 4th such bearish reversal since the March low. The previous 3 were at least near term highs. I’m thinking lower from here.