Market Update – August 17
Silver made a 2 bar weekly volume reversal last week. Volume reversal logic is explained here. The only other signals with the same volume requirements occurred in December 2010 and April 2011.
Silver made a 2 bar weekly volume reversal last week. Volume reversal logic is explained here. The only other signals with the same volume requirements occurred in December 2010 and April 2011.
Gold extended its losses in early trading on Wednesday, before rebounding sharply. The yellow metal fell by over 5% on Tuesday, marking its worst day in 7 years.
Expanding on yesterday’s gold chart (remember that the Fibonacci measurement is 2095…today’s high was 2070…), daily RSI is now 89.8. The indicator has been this high just twice before; January 1980 (twice) and September 1999.
There are similarities between the current gold rally and the rally into the 2011 top. Price has met the line off of the February and August 2019 highs (highs of proposed waves 1 and 3).
Gold traded lower early on Thursday, as investor mood was buoyed by the dovish stance of the Federal Reserve. On Wednesday, the Fed committed to leave interest rates near zero and pledged to use all its tools to support an economic recovery.
Gold remained bid in early trading on Friday, underpinned by the prospect of further fiscal stimulus and simmering US/China tensions. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index fell to its lowest levels since September of 2018.
Gold hovered around the key psychological level of 1,800 in early trading on Tuesday as global coronavirus cases continue to soar and Sino-US disharmony escalated over China’s pursuit of offshore resources in the South China Sea.
ES traded around noted resistance last week before finally turning down on Friday. Focus is towards 2777.25 and 2849. This the 38.2% retrace of the rally from March and 2 equal legs down. Lows from August and October reinforce the levels.
Gold prices inched higher in early trading on Thursday, as an increase in coronavirus cases threatened to derail economic recovery from the pandemic. A more dovish than expected June FOMC meeting has also bouyed the yellow metal.