USDJPY is nearing the center line of the channel from the 4/6 high. When a market is nearing the center line, I’m always on the lookout for acceleration in the trend…in this case that’s lower. Focus remains towards the lower channel and 61.8% retrace of the rally from the March low at 105.19.
Scand.Ex is pleased to present the next video with trading analysis by Jamie Saettele – AUDUSD Short Idea into May 2020 RBA Decision.
ES found support today from VWAP off of the Feb high. This level was resistance in March and support in April. I am treating last week’s high as the bearish risk point but given the support hit today a bigger bounce is favored. Resistance should be 2890-2930.
A flat is still possible. Thursday’s low would compose wave B. If this interpretation is correct then wave C should carry above 12593. The most likely spot for resistance remains the wave 4 and red parallel at 12692. Bottom line, USDOLLAR reacted at critical support (l0ng term magenta trendline) so focus is higher as long as price is above last week’s low.
Wow. I did NOT imagine that the S&P would be back at these levels. As I type in after hours trading, ES is taking out the 2/28 close. Volume on 2/28 was the highest since August 2011 (U.S. debt downgrade). High volume days are important because they represent a ‘vested interest’ at that specific area.
AUD/USD rallied to its highest level since March 11 in early trading on Tuesday, as Australia stands out as one of the countries having best managing the Coronavirus pandemic. The country responded quickly, closing its borders and imposing restrictions on movement. With new cases falling sharply over recent weeks, Australia began to ease social distancing restrictions. Sydney’s famed Bondi beach was reopened on Tuesday to local swimmers after a month-long closure.
The EURUSD decline from the 3/27 high is in 3 waves. Since this decline succeeds a 5 wave rally from the March low, it’s possible that the rally from last week’s low is either a C wave or a 3rd wave. Last week’s low is also on the lower channel line from the 2019 high. This line has provided support numerous times since September (zoomed out view of the channel is below). Near term entry is unclear but keep an eye on the line off of the 3/27 and 4/14 highs for a breakout.