Market Update – May 1

Market Update – May 1

ES reversed back below 2939.75 so I’m treating today’s high as a risk point for shorts. Proposed resistance is 2923/32, which were intraday supports on Tuesday. A proposed downside swing target is 2670ish. This is the median line of the bearish fork from the October 2018 high (was support on 3/10 before the 3/12 breakdown). VWAP from the low is currently 2672.50. This figure will rise slightly each day.

Market Update – April 29

Market Update – April 29

To review, USDOLLAR dropped in 5 waves from the March high. The 4/14 low was right on the 61.8% retrace of the rally from the March low. At that point, I was looking for a 3 wave rally back to 12692. Instead, USDOLLAR has traded in a tight range. Price is nearing the 4/14 low. It’s not impossible that the rally into the 4/21 high at 12593 is the entire correction but the correction would be awfully small in both time and price retracement. So, it’s possible that a flat is unfolding. Under this scenario, a C wave rally (probably sharp) will begin from nearby levels (may or may not take out the 4/14 first).