Many analysts feel that we are not out of the woods yet. We see most economies talking about lifting social distancing restrictions, which means that we can drive our cars to the petrol station, but we aren’t likely to be heading to the airport anytime soon. Manufacturing may begin but it will probably limp back to life as companies will have to ease the workforce back, slowly and safely, and perhaps with limited production.
Boris Schlossberg is one of the most familiar faces in forex, in part thanks to his regular appearances on CNBC and at major industry events.
Since reaching the long term parallel (magenta line) on 4/13, gold has traded sideways. Price rolled over last week from short term trendline resistance so be aware of the lower boundary near 1683. A break below there would leave price action since 4/13 as a consolidation top. Immediate downside focus would then be the 3/31 low at 1576.
The devastating effect of Covid-19 on the US economy became clearer on Friday with the release of the highly anticipated US employment report.
WTI traded into the 2016 low today and reversed lower. My working assumption is that crude is building a bullish base. 18.20-19.20 is the zone to watch for the next low. This zone is defined by support and resistance since late March.
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BoE is tomorrow and it looks like the bounce to 1.2484 is the extent of the corrective bounce in wave 2 of C. Proposed resistance is now 1.2405/20, which is a well-defined horizontal level and the neckline of a short term head and shoulders.