Copper nearly took out the 2019 high today before reversing lower. The reversal also occurred after price spiked above the trendline from 2011. High today is also on the upper parallel of the channel from the March low. The reaction from massive overhead resistance strongly suggests that a high of importance is in place. Pay attention to the parallels within the channel from the March low (see below). The center line is near 2.84 and the lower parallel is near 2.71.
Scand.Ex is pleased to present the next video with trading analysis by Jamie Saettele, our Chief Technical Analyst.
The US dollar and other safe haven assets were supported in early trading on Friday amid concerns over the spread of the conoravirus pandemic and a slower than expected economic recovery.
No change to the 7/7 comments and ‘view’ of reversal risk in the Nasdaq. I’m simply pointing out that NQ made another 8 hour volume reversal today.
Scand.Ex is pleased to present the next video with trading analysis by Jamie Saettele, our Chief Technical Analyst.
I remain broadly constructive GBPUSD but price could pull back from the current level, which is defined by 2020 VWAP (see 2 charts down). I’m showing 2 technical interpretations. An Elliott interpretation is that 5 waves up are complete or nearly so and that price should pull back towards the area of the prior 4th wave.
Risk’ may have put in an important high today. The following charts ‘explain’ why.
The EURUSD drop from 6/10 to 6/19 retraced exactly 38.2% of the rally from 5/7. 4th waves often retrace 38.2% of 3rd waves. The implication is that EURUSD is headed higher in a 5th wave. A possible target is where wave 5 would equal wave 1 at 1.1460. The high volume level at 1.1261 is a good spot for support (the year open is 1.1260 by the way). Be aware of the current ownership profile however (see below). Speculators are the most long since the 2017 high.
A bullish golden cross (50-period SMA crossing above the 200-period SMA) has formed on the AUD/USD daily chart. The Aussie has been supported by upbeat Chinese and Australian data, while the US dollar lost some of its safe haven appeal amid positive US and European economic data.