Seasonal tendencies are now bullish-sideways for DXY (and bearish-sideways for EURUSD) through mid-August. The biggest shift in seasonal tendencies however is in the commodity currency complex. AUDUSD and NZDUSD enter their most bearish period of the year starting now. USDCAD is in its most bullish period of the year. Nasdaq seasonal tendencies are bearish through August 14th. These charts are shown below.
Scand.Ex is pleased to present the next video with trading analysis by Jamie Saettele, our Chief Technical Analyst.
The greenback rebounded on Thursday, amid fears that a resurgence in the coronavirus could slow a global economic recovery. Meanwhile, US/China tensions remain elevated, with murmurs that a new Cold War is emerging between the superpowers.
Presentation from the June, 2020 Smart Traders Bootcamp.
The ‘about face’ in USD action today strongly suggests that we’re on the right track insofar as being near term USD bulls. Regarding EURUSD specifically, the 5 wave rally from the 4/24 low is ‘textbook’ so expectations are for at least a corrective pullback. The year open at 1.1260 along with parallels just below are likely initial support for a bounce.
Scand.Ex is pleased to present the next video with trading analysis by Jamie Saettele, our Chief Technical Analyst.
EURUSD traded 1.1452 today before reversing and closing near the low of the day. The high is right on the upper parallel of the channel from the March low. The line off of the September 2018 and March highs also reinforces the area as resistance. I’m of the mind that today was a high and now wish to trade from the short side. ECB is tomorrow. I’ll wait until that’s out of the way before determining entry.
British Pound futures pulled back to VWAPs off of the June high and low. The level is also the 200 period average on the 4 hour chart (spot is below) and more or less the breakout level from the short term head and shoulders bottom. I like GBPUSD higher as long as price is above today’s low. Near term support and resistance levels are 1.2510 and 1.2618.
Gold hovered around the key psychological level of 1,800 in early trading on Tuesday as global coronavirus cases continue to soar and Sino-US disharmony escalated over China’s pursuit of offshore resources in the South China Sea.