Education
December 15, 2020
Given the tag of a long term Fibonacci level in copper, I’m keeping a close eye on the near term picture. 3.45 is a level to know over the next day. This is the center line of the channel from the March low. A break below would indicate a near term behavior change and shift focus to the lower parallel. That is currently about 3.25. The line increases about .0050 a day.
April 29, 2020
To review, USDOLLAR dropped in 5 waves from the March high. The 4/14 low was right on the 61.8% retrace of the rally from the March low. At that point, I was looking for a 3 wave rally back to 12692. Instead, USDOLLAR has traded in a tight range. Price is nearing the 4/14 low. It’s not impossible that the rally into the 4/21 high at 12593 is the entire correction but the correction would be awfully small in both time and price retracement. So, it’s possible that a flat is unfolding. Under this scenario, a C wave rally (probably sharp) will begin from nearby levels (may or may not take out the 4/14 first).