Tag: CAD/JPY

Scandinavian Capital Markets

Market Update 10/12 – Watch Copper Here!

Today was important for copper as price reversed lower from well-defined trendline resistance. Simply, if copper is bearish then weakness will accelerate while price remains beneath today’s high. A break above would indicate an important behavior change and suggest that corrective action since May is complete and that another leg up within a longer term bull market is underway.

Scandinavian Capital Markets

Market Update 7/12 – USD Correcting Lower

EURUSD held VWAP from the 2020 low (again) so near term focus is higher towards the center line of the channel from the January high, which is about 1.1935. Importantly, notice that the 75 line provided support therefore the 25 line is proposed resistance if reached (as per median line symmetry). The 25 line intersects the 61.8% retrace of the decline from the May high at 1.2081. Watch for support near 1.1825.

Scandinavian Capital Markets

Market Update 5/20 – Tracking a Big EURJPY Level

EURJPY action since the October low has taken the form of a wedge. The rally stalled this week after taking out the September 2018 high but I’m wondering if we get a final spike into 134.30, which is both the 61.8% retrace of the decline from the 2014 high and 2 equal legs up from the 2020 low. A close-up view is below.

Scandinavian Capital Markets

Market Update 4/20 – Risk Reversing

AUDUSD reversed sharply lower today after coming within pips of the 61.8% retrace of the drop from the February high and early January high. Near term downside focus is .7620. Proposed resistance is .7750.

Scandinavian Capital Markets

Market Update 4/8 – Focus on USDJPY

The poke above the 2018-2020 line was short lived as USDJPY has reversed all of last week’s gains. The failed break above this line makes for a bearish setup. Near term, watch for a bounce near 108.80 and for resistance near 109.85-110.00. I favor shorts into the proposed resistance zone.

Scandinavian Capital Markets

Market Update: February 3

CADJPY is trading at the channel resistance that originates at the 2018 high. I’m ‘thinking’ lower from the current level but have no reason to enter yet. As noted in the previous chart, crude oil is nearing a potentially important inflection point. This is in interesting given the relationship with CADJPY (see below).

Scandinavian Capital Markets

Market Update: December 22

NZDJPY filled the previously uncovered close from May 2019 early this Month and is threatening to break down from a 4 week topping pattern now. The 200 week average has been resistance for years and is proving itself again at the current juncture. Near term focus is on former resistance at 72.00 with a much deeper drop (69.00ish) from the current level possible given the specter of 5 waves up from the March low.

Scandinavian Capital Markets

Market Update: November 17

Bitcoin! Heads up because ‘digital gold’ is quickly approaching its all time high of 19666. Just under this level is a parallel that crosses major levels (mostly from 2015 to 2017). BTCUSD is a long term bull but I’m of the mind that we see a strong reaction from the parallel/all time high.