Rollercoaster in Gold Continues Amid Rising Treasury Yields, Stronger Dollar
Gold extended its losses in early trading on Wednesday, before rebounding sharply. The yellow metal fell by over 5% on Tuesday, marking its worst day in 7 years.
Dollar Underpinned By Upbeat Economic Data
The greenback remained on the front foot in early trading on Monday, after Friday’s better than expected US employment report.
Market Update: Big CAD Levels Nearby
After some back and fill, silver blew through 26. The recent parabolic move could run into a ceiling near 33.80. This is based on a parallel related to the 1971-2001 trendline. This parallel crosses highs in 1974, 1987, and 2008.
Market Update – August 6
Expanding on yesterday’s gold chart (remember that the Fibonacci measurement is 2095…today’s high was 2070…), daily RSI is now 89.8. The indicator has been this high just twice before; January 1980 (twice) and September 1999.
Silver Soars to Fresh 7-Year Highs
Silver climbed to its highest levels since April 2013 in early trading on Wednesday, while gold rose to new record highs above $2,000 an ounce. The move comes after July’s 34% rally, marking silver’s largest monthly gain since December 1979.
Market Update – August 5
There are similarities between the current gold rally and the rally into the 2011 top. Price has met the line off of the February and August 2019 highs (highs of proposed waves 1 and 3).
Market Update – August 4
USDSEK nailed support and reversed higher on Friday from the noted channel extension and Fibonacci relationship. I’m looking for a sizable rebound in the coming weeks and maybe longer. Near term levels to pay attention to are the center line of the channel from the March high near 8.89 and the upper parallel, which is currently about 9.10.
Market Update – August 3
Copper begins the week at the lower parallel from the Schiff fork off of the March low…an important spot. If it breaks, then downside focus is 2.6325. Recall that copper put in a high 3 weeks ago at a major level (see weekly chart below).
Market Update – July 31
USDOLLAR daily RSI is 16.53. It’s only been that low twice (date since 2011); at the April 2011 low and the January 2018 low. Levels wise, the median line of the fork from the 2017 high is about 11950 (see close up below), which is in line with the lower parallel of the Schiff fork from the March high. It’s a logical place for a reversal.